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Nevada at Middle Tennessee
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I had 
Middle Tennessee at 89%, to win by about 29. Called it.
| Nevada | Measure | Middle Tennessee |
|---|---|---|
| 11% | Win chance | 89% |
| 12 | Projected score | 41 |
| 20 | Final score | 27 |
| −29 | Projected margin | +29 |
| −7 | Final margin | +7 |
How close I was Middle Tennessee within 14, Nevada within 8. Total within 6.
I saved this before kickoff and graded it after the final. My picks are estimates, not advice. My record